February 17, 2010 / 3:26 AM / 10 years ago

UPDATE 2-Australia's CSL H1 tops forecasts; sticks to outlook

* H1 profit rises 23 pct to A$617 mln, despite currency hit

* Swine flu vaccine helps offset drop in Gardasil royalties

* Sees year profit at upper end of 14-24 pct rise, constant $ * Shares jump 5 percent, have underperformed over past year (Adds analyst, CEO comments, share price)

By Sonali Paul

MELBOURNE, Feb 17 (Reuters) - Australian vaccine and blood products maker CSL Ltd (CSL.AX) stuck to its full year profit forecast after reporting a 23 percent rise in first-half profit, which beat broker forecasts and sent its shares up 5 percent.

First-half profits were bolstered by sales of the H1N1 swine flu vaccine and seasonal flu vaccines and stronger margins in its main business, blood plasma products, which offset a drop in royalties from its HPV cervical cancer vaccine.

Analysts said the result beat forecasts largely due to swine flu vaccine sales, which are not expected to be as strong in the second half.

“This was always going to be skewed to the first half because swine flu is a first-half story,” said UBS analyst Andrew Goodsall.

Governments that had been stocking up on swine flu vaccines for the northern winter did not need as much as they first thought because researchers found that one dose is effective, rather than the two doses they first thought were needed.

CSL, which competes against Baxter Healthcare (BAX.N) and Spain’s Grifols (GRLS.MC), said it still expects a full year profit between A$970 million and A$1.07 billion ($875 million and $965 million) based on current rates, or toward the upper end of a 14-24 percent rise based on last year’s exchange rates.

Analysts had been expecting a flat profit around A$1.02 billion this year, based on their own currency assumptions, as the group has been buffeted by a weaker U.S. dollar, with the bulk of its earnings from offshore.

In the second half, the company also faces falling royalties on its HPV cervical cancer vaccine, sold as Gardasil by Merck & Co (MRK.N) and Cervarix by GlaxoSmithKline (GSK.L) as countries like Australia have completed immunisation “catch-up” programmes.

CSL’s shares were up 5.1 percent at A$33.89, outpacing a 2 percent gain in the broader market. The stock has underperformed the S&P/ASX 200 index over the past year, falling almost 10 percent compared to a 35 percent gain in the index.

One risk to CSL’s shares stems from an expanding class action brought by U.S. hospitals, joined last week by the prestigious Mayo Clinic, against CSL and Baxter, alleging that they colluded to control plasma products prices.

CSL has repeatedly said it believes there is no substance to the allegations, first made last year by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission when it blocked CSL’s $3.1 billion bid for smaller U.S. rival Talecris Biotherapeutics TLCR.O.

“We are very clear on this. We have done nothing wrong. We are very confident in our position, and we will defend it vigorously,” McNamee told reporters.

He sees the lawsuit as part of the “rich tapestry of life doing business in America” and said the legal process could take some time.

CSL Managing Director Brian McNamee said the group’s result in the first-half reflected a tough market, with growing U.S. unemployment making it harder for patients to pay for treatments, and as distributors and hospitals cut stocks of blood products.

“Prices haven’t gone up. Profits are coming from their own manufacturing efficiencies,” said UBS’s Goodsall.

Net profit before one-offs rose to A$617 million ($556 million) for July-December from A$502 million a year earlier, well ahead of analysts’ forecasts of around A$526 million.

Gardasil sales fell A$66 million from a year earlier, reflecting the end of an immunisation catch-up programme in Australia. H1N1 flu vaccine sales contributed A$160 million. ($1=1.109 Australian Dollar) (Editing by Jeremy Laurence and Lincoln Feast)

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