UPDATE 1-Four largest US banks' outlooks slashed-Oppenheimer

miércoles 26 de marzo de 2008 06:17 CET
 

By Jonathan Stempel

NEW YORK, March 26 (Reuters) - The earnings outlooks for the four largest U.S. banks have been slashed by Oppenheimer & Co analyst Meredith Whitney, who said there is "no clear end in sight" to downward pressure on the sector's profits.

In a report late Tuesday, Whitney said Citigroup Inc (C.N: Cotización), the largest U.S. bank by assets, might lose $1.15 per share in the first quarter, four times her prior forecast for a 28 cents per share loss. She expects the bank to lose 15 cents per share in 2008, after earlier seeing profit of 75 cents per share.

Whitney in October correctly predicted that Citigroup would cut its dividend and raise $30 billion of capital.

The analyst on Tuesday also lowered her first-quarter profit per share forecasts for Bank of America Corp (BAC.N: Cotización) to 35 cents from 92 cents, for JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N: Cotización) to 70 cents from 86 cents, and for Wachovia Corp WB.N to 55 cents from 78 cents.

She cut her 2008 profit per share forecasts to $3.25 from $3.65 for Bank of America, to $2.90 from $3.20 for JPMorgan, and to $2.70 from $3.05 for Wachovia. The new forecasts are below analysts' average forecasts compiled by Reuters Estimates.

"Despite cutting estimates for financials by over 30 times since November, we are confident this will not be our last reduction in 2008," Whitney wrote. "As key mark-to-market indices trend lower, the housing market worsens, and the U.S. consumer comes under increasing pressure, we anticipate further downside to both estimates and stock prices."

She added: "We anticipate the current credit cycle to be the worst in generations."

The analyst left her profit per share forecast for Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N: Cotización), the fifth-largest U.S. bank, unchanged at 55 cents for the first quarter and $2.15 for the year.   Continuación...